Polymarket · interactive mechanism simulation

USDC is split into fully-collateralized Yes/No shares by the Conditional Token Framework → traded on a hybrid order book (off-chain match, on-chain settlement) → at close, an outcome is proposed to UMA's Optimistic Oracle → if undisputed it finalizes, if disputed it escalates to token-weighted DVM voting → winning shares redeem for $1. Edit the parameters and watch resolution risk change.
Traders buy / sell Yes & No CTF Contract $1 USDC → Yes + No CTF Exchange off-chain match · on-chain settle UMA Optimistic Oracle bond $750 DVM Vote $UMA token holders 0 disputes Redemption 0 markets resolved
Markets resolved
0
Volume traded
$0 USDC
Open interest
$0 USDC
Disputes escalated to DVM
0
Oracle captures (illustrative)
0
Parameters — edit me
1.6/s
8s
15%
$750
3.0s
Controls

Illustrative simulation. Defaults mirror the researched Polymarket mechanism (fully-collateralized CTF splits, hybrid CLOB settlement, UMA optimistic oracle with a small dispute bond escalating to token-weighted DVM voting), but trade sizes, timing, and the "oracle capture" trigger are simplified for visualization — not live onchain data. Lower the dispute bond to see capture risk rise. Part of The Onchain Experiment Atlas.